Constellation Software Inc.

Financial Performance

5Y price score: 61

10Y return: 465.2%

DATE RANGE:

CAD Per
Share

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2196.0

52-week range

4634.9

3,078.66

Your model inputs

Required return / cost of capital

FCFF terminal growth rate

Your fair value & Margin of safety

To calculate fair value based on cost of capital and terminal growth assumptions above, please select free cash flow forecast.

Forecast:

Valuation

Free Cash Flow Yield

5.8 %

Dividend Yield TTM

0.2 %

Market cap

65,242

Price / Earnings TTM

49.6

Price / Book TTM

9.7

PEG TTM

0.1

Earnings growth and return

LTM

5YR

10YR

Total return (price & dividends)

(31) %

44.7 %

465.1 %

Free cash flow per share growth

19.2 %

116.1 %

659.7 %

Earnings per share growth

377.3 %

19.5 %

194 %

Founded: 1,995

Employees: 3,200

Business Summary:Constellation Software Inc., together with its subsidiaries, acquires, builds, and manages vertical market software businesses to develop mission-critical software solutions for public and private sector markets. It is involved in the software licensing; and sale of hardware activities. The company also offers professional services consist of implementation services, custom programming, product training, managed services, and consulting services; maintenance and customer support services, and hosted software-as-a-service products; and other recurring services. It operates in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, Europe, and internationally. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

Fair Value Reference Estimate

Latest Earnings Call Takeaways

2026 Q2 (Aug 12, 2026)

1) AI and Verticalization Strategy
- Constellation Software is leveraging AI to enhance product development, with business unit managers driving AI initiatives tailored to their verticals.
- The company is not setting specific AI revenue targets or timelines, focusing instead on integrating AI functionality into existing mission-critical software.
- Verticalization is a key strategy, grouping businesses into coherent verticals to strengthen market presence and reputation as a preferred acquirer, although this will take time to reflect in financial results.

2) Financial Performance and Organic Growth
- The company reported a 4% organic growth rate, which is below the historical range of 5% to 6%. This was impacted by specific challenges in businesses like Altera and Dark Matter, which faced tough year-over-year comparisons.
- Altera's organic maintenance and recurring revenue growth has decelerated, attributed to a large client not renewing and accounting adjustments from previous strong quarters.
- The 2026 cohort of acquisitions has shown improvement, moving from negative margins to positive, indicating a recovery trajectory.

3) M&A Activity and Market Conditions
- Constellation has been active in M&A, closing several acquisitions including DerbySoft, TouchBistro, and Imagine, although this is described as case-by-case rather than indicative of a broader trend in valuation changes.
- The company has a robust acquisition pipeline, but competition remains strong, particularly for larger deals.
- The management team is focused on maintaining relationships and being prepared to act when opportunities arise, though predicting the timing of future deals is challenging.

4) Operational Challenges and Customer Retention
- The company is experiencing some operational challenges, particularly with larger acquisitions where integrating best practices is more complex.
- Customer retention has been a concern, with some businesses losing significant clients, which has affected organic growth metrics.
- The management expects these anomalies to normalize in the upcoming quarters, with no additional large customer losses anticipated.

5) Guidance and Future Outlook
- Management is optimistic about the potential for organic growth to revert to historical levels as operational adjustments take effect.
- The focus remains on refining vertical strategies and leveraging AI to enhance product offerings, although the impact on growth is still developing.
- The transcript lacks specific forward guidance on revenue or profit expectations for the next quarter, leaving some uncertainty for investors.

Bottom line: Constellation Software is navigating a transitional phase with its AI and verticalization strategies, while facing some organic growth challenges. Despite recent M&A activity and a strong pipeline, the company must address operational complexities and customer retention issues to sustain long-term growth. Investors should remain cautious but optimistic about the potential for recovery and improved performance in the coming quarters.

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